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montecarlo10.py
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153 lines (119 loc) · 3.64 KB
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import random
import matplotlib
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import time
sampleSize = 10000
startingFunds = 10000
wagerSize = 100
wagerCount = 100
from matplotlib import style
style.use("ggplot")
def rollDice():
roll = random.randint(1,100)
if roll == 100:
return False
elif roll <= 50:
return False
elif 100 > roll >= 50:
return True
def doubler_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,color):
global doubler_busts
#####################
global doubler_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
previousWager = 'win'
previousWagerAmount = initial_wager
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if previousWager == 'win':
if rollDice():
value += wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value < 0:
currentWager += 10000000000000000
doubler_busts += 1
elif previousWager == 'loss':
if rollDice():
wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
if (value - wager) < 0:
wager = value
value += wager
wager = initial_wager
previousWager = 'win'
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
if (value - wager) < 0:
wager = value
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
currentWager += 10000000000000000
doubler_busts += 1
currentWager += 1
plt.plot(wX,vY,color)
#####################
if value > funds:
doubler_profits+=1
'''
Simple bettor, betting the same amount each time.
'''
def simple_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,color):
global simple_busts
#####################
global simple_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if rollDice():
value += wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
currentWager += 10000000000000000
simple_busts +=1
currentWager += 1
plt.plot(wX,vY,color)
#####################
if value > funds:
simple_profits+=1
x = 0
simple_busts = 0.0
doubler_busts = 0.0
#####################
simple_profits = 0.0
doubler_profits = 0.0
while x < sampleSize:
simple_bettor(startingFunds,wagerSize,wagerCount,'c')
#simple_bettor(startingFunds,wagerSize*2,wagerCount,'c')
doubler_bettor(startingFunds,wagerSize,wagerCount,'k')
x+=1
print(('Simple Bettor Bust Chances:', (simple_busts/sampleSize)*100.00))
print(('Doubler Bettor Bust Chances:', (doubler_busts/sampleSize)*100.00))
print (('Simple Bettor Profit Chances:', (simple_profits/sampleSize)*100.00))
print(('Doubler Bettor Profit Chances:', (doubler_profits/sampleSize)*100.00))
plt.axhline(0, color = 'r')
plt.ylabel('Account Value')
plt.xlabel('Wager Count')
plt.show()