Monte-Carlo-Simulator/montecarlo11old.py at master · PythonProgramming/Monte-Carlo-Simulator · GitHub

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import random
import matplotlib
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import time

## MUST BEAT these!
'''
The question is, can we find a simple variable change where there is both
lower risk, and higher profit... and soon, is this the case accross an average
of 1 million samples.

'''
lower_bust = 84.1457
higher_profit = 15.6355

# back to 1,000
sampleSize = 1000

startingFunds = 1000
wagerSize = 100
wagerCount = 100


def rollDice():
    roll = random.randint(1,100)

    if roll == 100:
        return False
    elif roll <= 50:
        return False
    elif 100 > roll >= 50:
        return True


def multiple_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count):#,color):

    #add
    global multiple_busts
    global multiple_profits

    value = funds
    wager = initial_wager
    wX = []
    vY = []
    currentWager = 1
    previousWager = 'win'
    previousWagerAmount = initial_wager

    while currentWager <= wager_count:
        if previousWager == 'win':
            if rollDice():
                value += wager
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)
            else:
                value -= wager
                previousWager = 'loss'
                previousWagerAmount = wager
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)
                if value < 0:
                    currentWager += 10000000000000000
                    multiple_busts += 1
        elif previousWager == 'loss':
            if rollDice():

                #### must change the multiple ####
                wager = previousWagerAmount * random_multiple
                if (value - wager) < 0:
                    wager = value

                value += wager
                wager = initial_wager
                previousWager = 'win'
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)
            else:
                ### must fix this.... esp if we already recorded
                wager = previousWagerAmount * random_multiple
                if (value - wager) < 0:
                    wager = value
                value -= wager
                previousWager = 'loss'
                previousWagerAmount = wager
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)

                if value <= 0:
                    currentWager += 10000000000000000
                    #change
                    multiple_busts += 1

        currentWager += 1
    plt.plot(wX,vY)
    #####################
    if value > funds:
        #change
        multiple_profits+=1


def doubler_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,color):
    global doubler_busts
    global doubler_profits
    value = funds
    wager = initial_wager
    wX = []
    vY = []
    currentWager = 1
    previousWager = 'win'
    previousWagerAmount = initial_wager

    while currentWager <= wager_count:
        if previousWager == 'win':
            if rollDice():
                value += wager
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)
            else:
                value -= wager
                previousWager = 'loss'
                previousWagerAmount = wager
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)
                if value < 0:
                    currentWager += 10000000000000000
                    doubler_busts += 1
        elif previousWager == 'loss':
            if rollDice():
                wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
                if (value - wager) < 0:
                    wager = value

                value += wager
                wager = initial_wager
                previousWager = 'win'
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)
            else:
                wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
                if (value - wager) < 0:
                    wager = value
                value -= wager
                previousWager = 'loss'
                previousWagerAmount = wager
                wX.append(currentWager)
                vY.append(value)

                if value <= 0:
                    currentWager += 10000000000000000
                    doubler_busts += 1

        currentWager += 1
    #plt.plot(wX,vY,color)
    #####################
    if value > funds:
        doubler_profits+=1

def simple_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,color):
    global simple_busts
    global simple_profits

    value = funds
    wager = initial_wager
    wX = []
    vY = []
    currentWager = 1
    while currentWager <= wager_count:
        if rollDice():
            value += wager
            wX.append(currentWager)
            vY.append(value)
        else:
            value -= wager
            wX.append(currentWager)
            vY.append(value)

            if value <= 0:
                currentWager += 10000000000000000
                simple_busts +=1
        currentWager += 1
    plt.plot(wX,vY,color)
    if value > funds:
        simple_profits+=1
x = 0

######## delete the rest of the stuff, rename busts and profits
multiple_busts = 0.0
multiple_profits = 0.0

while x < 10:
    random_multiple = random.uniform(0.1,10.0)
    print random_multiple
    multiple_bettor(startingFunds,wagerSize,wagerCount)
    x+=1

plt.show()