diff --git a/src/content/statements/2026-07-21-weekly.md b/src/content/statements/2026-07-21-weekly.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..331780f --- /dev/null +++ b/src/content/statements/2026-07-21-weekly.md @@ -0,0 +1,42 @@ +--- +schema_version: 1 +type: weekly +draft: false +title: Week of 2026-07-15 +summary: poly-track weekly statement — 6471 alerts, hit rate 0.50. +period_start: '2026-07-15' +period_end: '2026-07-21' +bankroll_usd: 10000.0 +alert_count: 6471 +hit_rate: 0.5044776119402985 +hypothetical_pnl_usd: 4246.240000000001 +categories: +- politics +- macro-finance +top_wallets: +- truncated_id: wallet_8de2 + category: macro-finance + hypothetical_pnl_usd: -962.2699999999998 +- truncated_id: wallet_d5f9 + category: macro-finance + hypothetical_pnl_usd: 705.15 +- truncated_id: wallet_da44 + category: politics + hypothetical_pnl_usd: 697.45 +- truncated_id: wallet_d750 + category: politics + hypothetical_pnl_usd: 518.4000000000001 +- truncated_id: wallet_6461 + category: politics + hypothetical_pnl_usd: -455.15000000000003 +--- + +## Strategy track record (2026-07-15 → 2026-07-21) + +Generated from poly-track warehouse for the weekly window 2026-07-15 → 2026-07-21. 6471 alerts emitted in this window across the LP-public categories (politics, macro-finance). Numbers in the frontmatter are mechanically derived. + +Top wallets are ranked by realized PnL magnitude. A wallet-level `hypothetical_pnl_usd`, when present, is the $100-notional alert-model PnL for that wallet in this same window; it is an annotation, not the ranking key. + +## Methodology reminder + +See [/methodology](/methodology) for the sign-randomization skill test and the disclosure policy. All wallet references on this page are truncated IDs; no on-chain lookup is possible from this page alone.