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optimization_report.txt
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63 lines (53 loc) · 3.26 KB
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============================================================
SIX DICE COLOR YAHTZEE - ADVANCED OPTIMIZATION REPORT
VERSION: 2.9 (Deep Monte Carlo Analysis)
============================================================
--- Strategy Performance Analysis ---
Strategy: OPTIMIZED_VALIDATION | Avg: 554,05 | Max: 1199 | SD: 90,63
Strategy: HYBRID_PRIORITY | Avg: 549,60 | Max: 1104 | SD: 88,00
Strategy: COLOR_PRIORITY | Avg: 547,93 | Max: 1246 | SD: 88,87
Strategy: GAMBLE | Avg: 547,74 | Max: 1107 | SD: 89,55
Strategy: UPPER_PRIORITY | Avg: 542,15 | Max: 1067 | SD: 87,20
Strategy: BALANCED | Avg: 477,29 | Max: 973 | SD: 70,01
--- Expected Value (EV) Analysis by Roll ---
[Yahtzee]
Roll 1 : EV Success: 577,92 (n=394 ) | EV Sacrifice: 500,52 (n=73287 )
Roll 2 : EV Success: 591,01 (n=5402 ) | EV Sacrifice: 500,52 (n=73287 )
Roll 3 : EV Success: 593,58 (n=15085 ) | EV Sacrifice: 500,52 (n=73287 )
[Huge Straight]
Roll 1 : EV Success: 534,25 (n=17307 ) | EV Sacrifice: 464,90 (n=6544 )
Roll 2 : EV Success: 538,21 (n=28961 ) | EV Sacrifice: 464,90 (n=6544 )
Roll 3 : EV Success: 541,79 (n=33447 ) | EV Sacrifice: 464,90 (n=6544 )
[Flush]
Roll 1 : EV Success: 567,54 (n=413 ) | EV Sacrifice: 517,25 (n=83057 )
Roll 2 : EV Success: 577,03 (n=4622 ) | EV Sacrifice: 517,25 (n=83057 )
Roll 3 : EV Success: 578,02 (n=11981 ) | EV Sacrifice: 517,25 (n=83057 )
[Extended Full House]
Roll 1 : EV Success: 536,51 (n=12755 ) | EV Sacrifice: 485,15 (n=13777 )
Roll 2 : EV Success: 541,19 (n=29070 ) | EV Sacrifice: 485,15 (n=13777 )
Roll 3 : EV Success: 543,96 (n=33157 ) | EV Sacrifice: 485,15 (n=13777 )
[Extended Painted House]
Roll 1 : EV Success: 541,02 (n=15254 ) | EV Sacrifice: 494,52 (n=17793 )
Roll 2 : EV Success: 542,57 (n=28999 ) | EV Sacrifice: 494,52 (n=17793 )
Roll 3 : EV Success: 544,27 (n=29064 ) | EV Sacrifice: 494,52 (n=17793 )
--- Subsequent Yahtzee (Joker) Pursuit ---
EV with Bonuses: 713,85 (n=10755 ) vs EV without: 518,99 (n=109245)
--- Validation of Optimized Strategy ---
Optimized Strategy Mean: 554,05
Baseline Strategies Mean: 532,94
Improvement: +21,11 points (3,96%)
--- Final Decision Matrix (Roll-Specific) ---
Condition | Action
--------------------------------------------------|------------------------
5 of a Kind (Roll 1) [Risk of Zero] | Pursue Yahtzee
5 of a Kind (Roll 2) [Risk of Zero] | Pursue Yahtzee
Large Straight (Roll 1) [Risk of Zero] | Pivot to Other Category
Large Straight (Roll 2) [Risk of Zero] | Pivot to Other Category
5 of a Color (Roll 1) [Risk of Zero] | Pursue Flush
5 of a Color (Roll 2) [Risk of Zero] | Pursue Flush
Ext. Full House (Roll 1) [Yahtzee Unfilled] | INSUFFICIENT DATA
Ext. Full House (Roll 1) [Yahtzee Filled] | Keep Ext. FH
Ext. Painted House (Roll 1) | Keep Ext. PH
============================================================
REPORT GENERATED ON: Thu 2026 Apr 23 17:13:21 EEST
============================================================