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70 changes: 70 additions & 0 deletions scripts/optimization/baseline_recommender.sql
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/*
* Copyright 2026 Google LLC
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at
*
* http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*/

/*
* Baseline Recommendation Validator
*
* Purpose:
* Analyzes historical slot usage at a minute-level granularity to recommend
* optimal Baseline Commitments (p50) and Autoscale Limits (p95).
*
* Use Cases:
* 1. Rightsizing existing reservations (Audit).
* 2. Calculating commitments for new contracts (Capacity Planning).
* 3. Identifying "Spiky" vs. "Stable" workloads (Volatility Analysis).
*
* Prerequisites:
* - Requires 'roles/bigquery.resourceViewer' at the Organization level.
* - This script targets the Organization view by default.
*
* Volatility:
* This score works to identify which workloads are spiky(volatility_score > 3)
* vs flat(volatility_score < 1.5), this helps setting commitments for the flat
* reservations without risk on losing performance.
*/

DECLARE num_days_scan INT64 DEFAULT 14; -- Lookback window (recommended: 14-30 days)
DECLARE reservation_filter STRING DEFAULT '%'; -- Filter for specific reservation IDs (optional)

SELECT
reservation_id,

-- Sizing Recommendations
ROUND(APPROX_QUANTILES(SUM(period_slot_ms) / (1000 * 60), 100)[OFFSET(50)], 0) AS recommended_baseline_slots,
ROUND(APPROX_QUANTILES(SUM(period_slot_ms) / (1000 * 60), 100)[OFFSET(95)], 0) AS recommended_autoscale_limit,

-- Volatility Score
ROUND(
APPROX_QUANTILES(SUM(period_slot_ms) / (1000 * 60), 100)[OFFSET(95)] /
NULLIF(APPROX_QUANTILES(SUM(period_slot_ms) / (1000 * 60), 100)[OFFSET(50)], 0), 2
) AS volatility_score,

-- Supporting Metrics
ROUND(AVG(SUM(period_slot_ms) / (1000 * 60)), 0) AS avg_slots,
ROUND(MAX(SUM(period_slot_ms) / (1000 * 60)), 0) AS max_slots_observed

FROM
`region-us.INFORMATION_SCHEMA.JOBS_TIMELINE_BY_ORGANIZATION` -- Region is selected through this FROM clause
WHERE
job_creation_time >= TIMESTAMP_SUB(CURRENT_TIMESTAMP(), INTERVAL num_days_scan DAY)
AND job_type = 'QUERY'
AND statement_type != 'SCRIPT'
AND reservation_id LIKE reservation_filter
GROUP BY
reservation_id,
TIMESTAMP_TRUNC(period_start, MINUTE)
ORDER BY
recommended_baseline_slots DESC;