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4 changes: 4 additions & 0 deletions .Jules/palette.md
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## 2024-05-24 - Concrete Tooltips for Financial Parameters
**Learning:** Users struggle to interpret abstract statistical inputs (like quantiles, days, or basis points). Providing concrete, easily understandable examples within tooltips significantly improves confidence and usability.
**Action:** Always include concrete examples in tooltips for financial or statistical parameters (e.g., '10 bps = 0.10%', '63 days = ~3 months').
106 changes: 90 additions & 16 deletions src/dashboard.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -160,44 +160,114 @@ def get_cache_key(*args) -> str:
st.subheader("3. Signal Parameters")
if mode == "Single-Asset":
sma_window = st.slider(
"Trend SMA Window", 10, 200, DEFAULT_SMA_WINDOW, 10,
help="Lookback days for Simple Moving Average trend signal."
"Trend SMA Window",
10,
200,
DEFAULT_SMA_WINDOW,
10,
help="Lookback days for Simple Moving Average trend signal.",
)
mom_window = st.slider(
"Momentum Lookback (Months)", 1, 24, DEFAULT_MOMENTUM_WINDOW, 1,
help="Lookback months for Momentum signal."
"Momentum Lookback (Months)",
1,
24,
DEFAULT_MOMENTUM_WINDOW,
1,
help="Lookback months for Momentum signal.",
)
else:
factor_window = st.slider("Factor Beta Window (days)", 20, 252, 63, 7)
vol_window = st.slider("Regime Vol Window (days)", 10, 60, 21, 5)
adv_pct = st.slider("ADV Participation %", 0.01, 0.30, float(DEFAULT_ADV_PCT), 0.01)
factor_window = st.slider(
"Factor Beta Window (days)",
20,
252,
63,
7,
help="Rolling window for calculating factor betas. 63 days = ~3 months.",
)
vol_window = st.slider(
"Regime Vol Window (days)",
10,
60,
21,
5,
help="Rolling window for realized volatility. 21 days = ~1 trading month.",
)
adv_pct = st.slider(
"ADV Participation %",
0.01,
0.30,
float(DEFAULT_ADV_PCT),
0.01,
help="Maximum percentage of Average Daily Volume to trade. 0.10 = 10% of daily volume.",
)

st.markdown("---")
st.subheader("4. Research Rigor")
use_oos = st.toggle(
"Out-of-Sample Mode",
value=False,
help="Uses expanding-window quantiles for regime classification to avoid look-ahead bias. Enable for rigorous backtesting."
help="Uses expanding-window quantiles for regime classification to avoid look-ahead bias. Enable for rigorous backtesting.",
)
if use_oos:
st.success("✓ Look-ahead bias removed")
else:
st.info("Using full-sample quantiles (exploratory mode)")

vol_q_high = st.slider(
"High Volatility Quantile", 0.5, 0.95, DEFAULT_VOL_QUANTILE_HIGH, 0.05
"High Volatility Quantile",
0.5,
0.95,
DEFAULT_VOL_QUANTILE_HIGH,
0.05,
help="Threshold for 'High' volatility regime. 0.80 = Top 20% of historical volatility.",
)

if mode == "Single-Asset":
st.subheader("5. Backtest Settings")
bt_cost = st.number_input("Transaction Cost (bps)", value=DEFAULT_COST_BPS, step=1) / 10000
bt_cost = (
st.number_input(
"Transaction Cost (bps)",
value=DEFAULT_COST_BPS,
step=1,
help="Cost per trade in basis points. 10 bps = 0.10%.",
)
/ 10000
)
allow_short = st.checkbox("Allow Short Selling?", value=False)
else:
st.subheader("5. Alert Thresholds")
dd_alert = st.slider("Max Drawdown Alert", -0.6, -0.05, -0.2, 0.05)
vol_alert = st.slider("Volatility Alert (ann.)", 0.1, 1.0, 0.35, 0.05)
beta_alert = st.slider("Beta Alert", 0.5, 2.0, 1.3, 0.1)
dttl_alert = st.slider("Days-to-Liquidate Alert", 1.0, 20.0, 5.0, 1.0)
dd_alert = st.slider(
"Max Drawdown Alert",
-0.6,
-0.05,
-0.2,
0.05,
help="Alert when drawdown exceeds this negative threshold. -0.20 = 20% loss.",
)
vol_alert = st.slider(
"Volatility Alert (ann.)",
0.1,
1.0,
0.35,
0.05,
help="Alert when annualized volatility exceeds this level. 0.35 = 35% volatility.",
)
beta_alert = st.slider(
"Beta Alert",
0.5,
2.0,
1.3,
0.1,
help="Alert when portfolio beta to benchmark exceeds this value.",
)
dttl_alert = st.slider(
"Days-to-Liquidate Alert",
1.0,
20.0,
5.0,
1.0,
help="Alert when estimated days to liquidate the portfolio exceeds this value.",
)


# --- Portfolio Mode ---
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -916,8 +986,12 @@ def get_cache_key(*args) -> str:
""")

wf_col1, wf_col2 = st.columns(2)
wf_train = wf_col1.number_input("Training Window (months)", value=24, min_value=6, max_value=60)
wf_test = wf_col2.number_input("Test Window (months)", value=6, min_value=1, max_value=12)
wf_train = wf_col1.number_input(
"Training Window (months)", value=24, min_value=6, max_value=60
)
wf_test = wf_col2.number_input(
"Test Window (months)", value=6, min_value=1, max_value=12
)

if st.button("Run Walk-Forward Analysis"):
with st.spinner("Running walk-forward validation..."):
Expand Down
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