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UmdTask453 DATA605 Spring2026 Darts SP500 Forecasting#455

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UmdTask453 DATA605 Spring2026 Darts SP500 Forecasting#455
RushilJoshi07 wants to merge 15 commits intogpsaggese:masterfrom
RushilJoshi07:UmdTask453_DATA605_Spring2026_Darts

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@RushilJoshi07 RushilJoshi07 commented Apr 1, 2026

Summary

This PR adds the Darts SP500 Market Direction Forecasting &
Intelligent Sector Rotation project.

Issue

Related to #453

What is included

  • Project folder with template files
  • README with project description and planned workflow
  • requirements.txt with all dependencies

Author

@RushilJoshi07
@gpsaggese
@protocorn

@protocorn
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Hi, please update the PR description to use standard GitHub issue reference syntax.

Since this project issue will likely remain active throughout the project, please use:

Related to #xyz

instead of Closes xyz.

@RushilJoshi07
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Hi Sahil, updated the PR description

…calendar features, event flags, TimeSeries objects
…feature version comparison, predictions vs actual visualization
…ost RandomForest across 7 and 10 feature sets, XGBoost 7 features achieves best MAPE 0.70pct
…ng, stacking achieves best MAPE 0.65pct with 7.09pct improvement over best individual model
…egimes, sector returns heatmap shows rotation signals per regime
…ediction accuracy, RandomForest 73pct worse on FOMC days, LightGBM 44pct better
…APE 2.78pct direction 76.6pct, out-of-regime 2024 AI boom validates regime detection system
…, optuna added to requirements.txt, Docker build verified successful
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