A python module for modelling bowties in PyMC
The UK Civil Aviation Authority guide to Bowties
graph LR;
CA[Cause A]-->B1[Barrier 1];
CB[Cause B]-->B2[Barrier 2];
B1[Barrier 1]-->B3[Barrier 3];
B2[Barrier 2]-->B3[Barrier 3];
B3[Barrier 3]-->TE[Top Event];
HC[Hazard Context]-->TE;
TE-->B5[Barrier 5];
TE-->B6[Barrier 6];
B5-->ConA[Consequence A];
B6-->ConB[Consequence B];
EF[Escalatory Factor]-->B6;
Install PyMC using uv in the folder along with this repo.
uv init
uv venv
uv pip install pymc networkx pandas matplotlib graphviz
uv pip install -e .
Then you can run the example uv run examples/airprox_bowtie.py