FootballManager.Simulator

Simulates a football competition of 4 teams based on strength.

Pre-requisites

Be sure to install .Net Core 2.0 Runtime.

Use

Clone the repository and run the console application via this command

dotnet .\App\FM.Simulator.dll

Answer the question and it will run x simulations of a competition. The competition consists of 4 teams:

Team	Strength	Agggression
Ajax	100	10
Feyenoord	100	40
PSV	100	30
FC Utrecht	100	20

The followoing result is shown for each simulation:

• Match events
• Final results of all 6 matches
• Final standing

The final result show:

• Match with the highest scoring.
• Number of times each team became champion
• Top 10 of most occuring score.

Explanation

The simulator takes the team strength into account when calculating a match. The team aggression is used which team will get a yellow/ red card. The following steps are executed per simulation

• Create a new competition

• Add 4 teams to the competition

• Generate a single schedule that produces 6 matches. Teams play 3 matches, the home/ away team is random.

• Simulate each match

  • Determine match length: 90 minutes + 2-5 minutes of injury time
  • For each minute pick a random 'match event' based on this table and the team strength or aggression (3rd column):

  Event	Probability	Based on
  Yellow card	3	Team agression
  Red card	1	Team agression
  Goal	2	Team strength
  Injury	1	Team strength (todo: move to opponent agression)
  Nothing	93	-

  Example: In the 4rd minute a goal event is simulated. Both team strengths are taken into account to determine which teams scores.

  • After the match is finished, the competition standing is updated.
  • After all 6 matched are played, the final position is calculated, based on:
    • Most Points
    • Most Goal difference (NL: doelsaldo)
    • Most Goals scored
    • Result between the 2 teams If all is the same, the position will be equal. This simulator doesn't support 3 or more teams to finish equal.
  • Match results are printed.
  • Final competition standing is printed.

Expectations

If you run the simulation a 1000 times, the expectation is that each team becomes champion +/- 250 times (in case all teams have equal strength).

Try out other strengths

dotnet .\App\FM.Simulator.dll --teamStrengths 500,100,1,10

This translates to Ajax (500), Feyenoord (100), PSV (1), FC Utrecht (10)

Sneak preview