Skip to content

chore(reports): reassess re-reUSD (team feedback + TVL refresh, June 2026)#259

Draft
spalen0 wants to merge 2 commits into
masterfrom
reusd-2
Draft

chore(reports): reassess re-reUSD (team feedback + TVL refresh, June 2026)#259
spalen0 wants to merge 2 commits into
masterfrom
reusd-2

Conversation

@spalen0

@spalen0 spalen0 commented Jun 17, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Collaborator

Reassessment of the re-reUSD risk report driven by team feedback (13 points), plus a headline TVL/market-data refresh. Defensive posture throughout: claims verified against primary sources, Re-asserted figures labeled, caveats preserved.

What changed

1. Team-feedback reassessment (commit 1c95283)

Verified all 13 points and applied the ones that hold up:

Verified independently (onchain / docs / press):

  • Chainlink Proof-of-Reserve IS live on Avalanchecast confirms 0xc79a…2f607 is a real Chainlink AccessControlledOCR2Aggregator ("Re Offchain Reserves", 16 transmitters, ~$176.8M, updated daily), listed in Chainlink's directory under re-reserves. Corrects the report's prior "overclaim / does not exist" conclusion. Caveats preserved: Avalanche-only, not consumed by Ethereum reUSD logic, sourced from TNF's LedgerLens (same offchain attestor), labeled "non-value-securing."
  • reUSDe yield = risk-free/SOFR + 850 bps (removed retired "16–25%" model).
  • reUSDe is mezzanine/second-loss; Re Capital (reinsurer equity) is first-loss (docs waterfall).
  • reUSD yield is a weighted blend + single 250 bps spread (not "higher-of").
  • Issuer is Resilience Foundation Cayman LLC; BVI entity is a service affiliate (RWA.xyz was wrong).
  • Underwriting led by James Norris (CUO) + Jonathan Lim (Head of Underwriting), not "former CEO of Willis Programs."

Accepted as Re-asserted / recomputed (defensively labeled):

  • reUSD attaches at 115% combined ratio, not 135%; loss-likelihood ladder 105/110/115/135 → 3.9/1.9/0.9/0.03%. reUSD's modeled loss likelihood is ~0.9%, not the 0.03% the report had emphasized.
  • 0xd4374008… reclassified as reUSDe collateral → excluded from reUSD reserves: $97.37M total across two EOAs ($89.77M), coverage ~52.6% (only ~2.6 pp above the 50% floor), sUSDe ~88% / USDC ~9.6%.
  • Premiums ~$409M inception-to-date (~$226M in 2026); fixed the $174M token-supply-vs-reinsurance-book conflation (~35 carriers / ~600K policyholders / ~7:1 leverage, Re-asserted).

Graph (reports/graph/re-reusd.yaml): added chainlink-por dependency node + edge; fixed sUSDe reserve share.

2. TVL / market-data refresh (commit c38cb79)

Refreshed from DeFiLlama / CoinGecko / onchain (June 17, 2026):

  • reUSD price ~$1.084 (onchain getSharePrice 1.0839) ↑ from ~$1.072
  • reUSD market cap ~$172.2M ↓ from ~$186.7M
  • reUSD supply ~159.0M all-chains / ~157.5M Ethereum ↓ from ~172.6M
  • 24h volume ~$1.2M ↓ from ~$7.3M
  • DeFiLlama protocol-wide TVL ~$262.1M ↑ from ~$198.1M (peaked ~$288M late May)

Divergence flagged: protocol-wide TVL rose while reUSD's own supply/market cap contracted (net redemptions + LayerZero cross-chain migration); protocol TVL now exceeds reUSD market cap by ~$90M, reflecting reUSDe/other growth.

Score

Unchanged at 3.6 (Elevated). Riskier corrections (115% attachment, thinner ~52.6% coverage, lower volume) offset the one genuine positive (live Chainlink PoR). No subcategory crosses a threshold.

Validation

  • Onchain checks via cast (Avalanche PoR aggregator; Ethereum supply/share price).
  • Docs/press verified via WebFetch/WebSearch (docs.re.xyz, re.xyz/disclosure, Reinsurance News, GlobeNewswire).
  • Reserve arithmetic + graph YAML validated (yaml.safe_load, no dangling edges).
  • npm run build not run to completion — astro is not installed in this worktree (update_stats.mjs step ran fine). Content/markdown/YAML are otherwise consistent.

Caveats / not done

  • Onchain reserve balances (reserves, DEX liquidity, redemption buffers) were not re-snapshotted — they remain as of the Apr 17, 2026 audit and are labeled as such; only reserve totals were recomputed to drop the reclassified custodian.
  • The reUSDe attribution of 0xd4374008… is a Re/team claim (not independently provable onchain).
  • All portfolio / premium / combined-ratio / loss-likelihood figures remain Re-asserted, not independently verified.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

spalen0 and others added 2 commits June 17, 2026 09:58
Verify and apply 13 points of team feedback to the reUSD risk report,
keeping a defensive posture (preserve caveats, label Re-asserted figures).

Verified independently (onchain / docs / press):
- Chainlink Proof-of-Reserve IS live on Avalanche ("Re Offchain Reserves",
  OCR2, 16 transmitters, TNF LedgerLens source) — corrects the report's
  prior "overclaim / does not exist" conclusion. Kept caveats: Avalanche-only,
  not consumed by Ethereum reUSD logic, non-value-securing, same offchain attestor.
- reUSDe yield = RFR/SOFR + 850 bps (removed retired "16-25%" model).
- reUSDe is mezzanine/second-loss; Re Capital is first-loss (docs waterfall).
- reUSD yield is a weighted blend + single 250 bps spread (not "higher-of").
- Issuer is Resilience Foundation Cayman LLC; BVI entity is a service affiliate.
- Underwriting led by James Norris (CUO) + Jonathan Lim (Head of Underwriting).

Accepted as Re-asserted / recomputed (defensively labeled):
- reUSD attaches at 115% CR (not 135%); likelihoods 105/110/115/135 ->
  3.9/1.9/0.9/0.03%. reUSD's modeled loss likelihood is ~0.9%, not 0.03%.
- 0xd4374008 reclassified as reUSDe collateral -> excluded from reUSD reserves:
  $97.37M total, two EOAs ($89.77M), coverage ~52.6%, sUSDe ~88% / USDC ~9.6%.
- Premiums ~$409M inception-to-date (~$226M in 2026); fixed $174M token-supply
  vs reinsurance-book conflation (~35 carriers / ~600K policyholders).

Graph: added chainlink-por dependency node + edge; fixed sUSDe share.
Final score unchanged at 3.6 (Elevated): riskier corrections offset the
new live PoR transparency mirror.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Refresh headline market metrics from DeFiLlama / CoinGecko / onchain:
- reUSD price ~$1.084 (onchain getSharePrice 1.0839), up from ~$1.072
- reUSD market cap ~$172.2M, down from ~$186.7M
- reUSD supply ~159.0M all-chains / ~157.5M Ethereum, down from ~172.6M
- 24h volume ~$1.2M, down from ~$7.3M
- DeFiLlama protocol-wide TVL ~$262.1M, up from ~$198.1M (peaked ~$288M late May)
- cumulative yield since inception ~8.4%

Notable divergence: protocol-wide TVL rose while reUSD's own supply/market
cap contracted (net redemptions + LayerZero cross-chain migration; protocol
TVL now exceeds reUSD market cap by ~$90M, reflecting reUSDe/other growth).

Detailed onchain reserve / DEX / redemption snapshots remain as of the
Apr 17, 2026 audit and are clearly labeled as such; market-cap-derived
April liquidity ratios are anchored to that snapshot. Score unchanged (3.6).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@vercel

vercel Bot commented Jun 17, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown

The latest updates on your projects. Learn more about Vercel for GitHub.

Project Deployment Actions Updated (UTC)
risk-score Ready Ready Preview, Comment Jun 17, 2026 2:34pm

Request Review

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant